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CASE

Americans Elect

Also known as: Unity08 (predecessor)

A $35 million bet that a hidden centrist majority would flock online to nominate a third presidential ticket, undone when neither the voters nor the candidates it imagined ever showed up.

~2 years (2010–2012)·Shut down·High confidence

The bet

Americans Elect was the best-funded version of a recurring American dream: that a moderate majority is trapped between two disliked parties and would, given the chance, rise up and nominate a unity ticket of its own. Organized in 2010 as a 501(c)(4) and bankrolled largely by the financier Peter Ackerman, who had tried the same thing with the failed Unity08, it built an online platform where anyone could become a "delegate," place themselves on a policy questionnaire, and help draft and nominate a presidential candidate through an internet primary. It spent lavishly to win ballot access state by state. The bet was that the constituency was already there, waiting, and only needed a door.

Peak

For a while the machinery looked impressive. Americans Elect won ballot access in 26 states, a genuinely difficult feat, claimed something like 420,000 registered delegates, staffed a large Washington office, and even took home a South by Southwest Interactive award for the platform. It drew serious press and floated the names of popular figures who might carry its banner. On the surface, it had built exactly the apparatus a third-party movement would need.

What worked

Some of it was real. Getting onto the ballot in 26 states is hard, and the online nominating system was built well enough to win a design award. The effort named a real public frustration with the two-party system, and it did the country the small service of testing the "hidden centrist majority" theory at full scale. When the test came back negative, the leadership admitted it and closed, rather than pretending otherwise.

What failed — the mechanism

Americans Elect built a two-sided nominating machine, and both sides stayed empty. It assumed a vast centrist middle would flood in as delegates, but the people who tell pollsters they are "independent" are mostly partisans in disguise, so the engaged constituency never showed up. It claimed roughly 420,000 delegates, yet its leading candidate had only about 6,000 declared supporters, nowhere near the 10,000-across-ten-states bar to survive the first round. The other side was just as empty, because no serious candidate would stake a campaign on an untested online process. On top of the vacuum, the organization refused to name its donors, which stripped it of the legitimacy a civic platform lives on, and it aimed at a presidential race rather than the congressional contests where party power is actually built. No delegates, no candidates, no trust: it folded in May 2012.

What Agora takes from it

Americans Elect is the definitive lesson in not assuming a constituency. Agora does not wager that a latent public will pour into an empty platform. It anchors every conversation to verified officials and aggregates their public records, so there is real substance on day one instead of an empty room, and it ties participation to the actual work of governing rather than to an abstract appetite for reform. The case also shows that trust is load-bearing infrastructure. A civic platform that hides who funds it and how it works forfeits the legitimacy it cannot function without, which is why Agora is non-partisan by design and open about exactly what it is.

SOURCES
  1. Nobody for President: The inevitable, glorious, $35 million failure of Americans Elect (Slate)postmortem · 2012-05-15
  2. The inside story of how the FEC investigated a dark money group (CREW)secondary
  3. Americans Elect — Wikipediasecondary
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